The Polyflux Blog

Insights into the Polymarket ecosystem.

Guides and deep-dives on streaming Polymarket data, building trading bots, and getting an edge before the chain settles.

On-chain data Aug 9, 2026

3.1 million traders — and the $48M they forgot: a Polymarket wallet census

A census of Polymarket's 3.09M traders: 350× growth in three years — and $48.4M sitting in trading wallets that have been silent for over three months.

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On-chain data Aug 8, 2026

Polymarket in 2026: $26.8B traded, one war arc, and 3.5% of wallets doing 88% of it

Polymarket traded $26.8B in the first 218 days of 2026. Daily volume, what drove every peak, the category rotation, and the 3.5% of wallets behind 88% of fills.

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Explainer Aug 7, 2026

Polymarket arbitrage, honestly: the three real kinds and why bots win them

The three real kinds of Polymarket arbitrage — YES+NO mispricing, negative-risk sets, cross-platform spreads — what they pay, and why bots win them.

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Guide Aug 6, 2026

Copy-trading Polymarket whales: the complete guide

How to copy-trade Polymarket whales: find wallets worth following, vet their history, see their trades seconds early, and know when not to follow.

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Comparison Aug 5, 2026

Real-time Polymarket data: official websockets vs. subgraphs vs. node streams

Polymarket's own websockets are real-time but partial. Subgraphs have the data but index late. Node streams are fast but costly. A comparison.

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Explainer Aug 4, 2026

Unlike traditional finance, Polymarket gives you wallet-level order flow

On Wall Street, who traded is a secret or a quarterly filing. On Polymarket every fill has a wallet attached — if you connect the right way. A comparison.

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Guide Aug 3, 2026

The trading strategy that benefits from panic sellers: concept and execution

When someone market-sells a big Polymarket position into a thin book, the discount goes to whoever had resting bids. Here is how that strategy works.

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On-chain data Aug 2, 2026

A couple of panic decisions, $62K gone — others were waiting for him to blink

One Polymarket wallet built 'no war' positions for four months and panic-sold them three times. The order book charged ~$62K for the urgency.

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Explainer Aug 1, 2026

How Polymarket markets resolve: UMA, proposals, disputes, and the $750 at stake

Polymarket outcomes are decided by UMA's Optimistic Oracle: a $750 bond, a 2-hour challenge window, and — if disputed — a 2–4 day tokenholder vote.

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On-chain data Jul 31, 2026

Thirty days of Polymarket deposits: $49 medians, $783K whales, and one wallet that tops up every 9 minutes

We classified a month of on-chain deposits into Polymarket accounts: 29,368 deposits, $38M+, and a handful of wallets whose funding patterns tell stories.

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On-chain data Jul 30, 2026

Following the money: one day of Polymarket peer-to-peer transfers

On July 28, 2026, $606K moved directly between Polymarket wallets in 10,335 transfers. We mapped every flow — and the wallets cluster into clear hub-and-spoke shapes around a handful of high-volume traders.

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Comparison Jul 29, 2026

Polyflux vs. running your own Polygon node for Polymarket data

DIY Polymarket data means terabyte disks, mempool peering, protocol decoding, and a maintenance treadmill of hardforks. Here's the honest build-vs-buy math.

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Explainer Jul 29, 2026

Polymarket trading strategies: six classics and the data they run on

Copy trading, momentum, arbitrage, market making, mean reversion, news trading — how each classic strategy works on Polymarket and the data it needs.

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Guide Jul 28, 2026

Inspect wallet behavior: reading the story in Polymarket trade history

A wallet's trade history tells a story — entries, exits, discipline. Here's how to collect Polymarket trades per wallet and read behavior, not just P/L.

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Guide Jul 27, 2026

polyflux-client: stream Polymarket trades in Python and name every market

The official Polyflux Python library: typed real-time trades with auto-reconnect, plus a MarketCatalog that resolves any asset_id to its market in O(1).

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Comparison Jul 26, 2026

How trade streaming beats the public Polymarket API for tracking wallets

Polling Polymarket's API for wallet positions lags 3–120 seconds. Streaming trades and applying them locally keeps positions current in real time.

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Explainer Jul 25, 2026

Why the order book WebSocket isn't enough for effective Polymarket trading

Polymarket's API streams live order book updates — but book deltas can't tell you if a trade happened or an LP moved. Here's what the book hides.

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Explainer Jul 24, 2026

Polymarket wallet types explained: EOA vs Magic vs Gnosis Safe

Polymarket has three account types — EOA, Magic (email) proxy, and Gnosis Safe proxy. Here's how each works and which signature_type your bot needs.

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Tutorial Jul 23, 2026

Your first Polymarket trading bot: from account to copying a whale

Set up a Polymarket account, export your Magic wallet key, and build a primitive Python bot that watches the live feed and copies a whale's trades.

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Guide Jul 22, 2026

How to stream live Polymarket trades in Python

Connect to the Polymarket mempool feed and read every trade the millisecond it happens — with the polyflux-client library or a raw WebSocket.

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Comparison Jul 21, 2026

Manual vs. automated Polymarket trading: which is right for you?

Manual trading means you watch and click; automated trading means a bot reacts for you in milliseconds, 24/7. Here's the real difference and when each wins.

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Explainer Jul 20, 2026

What is the Polymarket mempool, and why does it matter?

The Polymarket mempool is where trades wait before confirming on-chain. Seeing it live gives traders a ~3-second head start. Here's how it works.

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Explainer Jul 19, 2026

What is Polymarket? How it works and the tech behind it

Polymarket is an on-chain prediction market where you trade shares in real-world outcomes. Here's how it works — the order book, USDC, and Polygon settlement.

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